Scientist invented new tool for better forecast of Indian Monsoon
The researchers from Florida State University in the US developed a method that uses rainfall rates to mark the span of the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) at any given location throughout the affected region.The new method, published in the journal Climate Dynamics.
“Current weather forecasting and monitoring protocols focus attention on monsoon onset at one location — specifically the state of Kerala in the southwest corner of the country — and extrapolate for the rest of the region,” said lead investigator Vasu Misra, Associate Professor of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Science.
“We have gone down to specific locations, we have covered the whole country, and we have objectively defined the onset and demise dates for any given year,” said Misra, lead investigator of the study published in the journal Climate Dynamics.
The researchers have struggled a lot in the past in providing the model for accurately defining the duration of monsoon. And now with this new system, which ties the onset of the monsoon to location-specific rainfall thresholds, researchers will to make a model which will be more precise in forecasting the Indian Monsoon System. This could a Standardized system to monitor ISM Solution.
Before this method, Researchers in regional meteorological departments have their own criteria to determine the ISM onset which can often lead to some controversial claims
“Our research enables quite easy real-time monitoring of the onset and demise of the Indian monsoon,” Misra said.
“We’ve tested this for 105 years of available data, and this criterion hasn’t failed once for any location over India,” Misra added.
This will eventually going to help number of farmers and many losses of goods and life will be prevented as after the short rainfall or because of drought many farmers commits suicide.
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